The Dallas Mavericks (8-5) and the Los Angeles Lakers (9-5) didn’t begin the year looking like championship contenders, but both squads have put it together recently.
Their 10:30 PM ET game on Monday is one you won’t want to miss, and the odds are a bit surprising to me when you consider some key factors.
Los Angeles is 8-1 at home this season and opened up as a 4.5-point favorite against a Dallas squad that has gone just 2-3 on the road this year.
With the Lakers attracting close to 60% of the money according to bet-tracking websites, you might expect the odds to get even higher before tipoff.
In fact the exact opposite has happened as the Mavericks are currently just a 4-point underdog despite all those things seemingly going against them.
The total for Monday night’s game is anywhere from 181.5 to 183.5 after sportsbooks moved the line in different directions immediately following its release.
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The Mavericks have won 5 straight heading into this game, and they’ve covered the betting odds in all 5.
Dallas’ strong defense and poor early-season shooting has resulted in 9 of their last 10 games going under the total.
The Lakers had a 5-game winning streak snapped last time out against the Los Angeles Clippers, and they’ve covered the odds in just 4 of their last 10 games while going over the total in 5 of 8.
The Mavericks have won 4 straight head-to-head meetings against the Lakers, as well as coming out on top in 6 of the last 8. Dallas has won 2 straight games in Los Angeles, and they’ve covered the spread in all 6 of those recent victories.
The over has been a popular play when these teams meet and has hit in 2 straight and 7 of the last 10 meetings.
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