Tuesday, May 22nd, 2012
Saturday’s 1:00 PM ET clash between the Miami Dolphins (5-9) and the New England Patriots (11-3) might be closer than many thought possible when looking ahead toward this matchup a month or so ago.
The Dolphins started off with 7 straight losses before rebounding to win 5 of their last 7 games this season.
New England is at home and on a 6-game winning streak, but surprisingly it is Miami that is garnering slightly over 50% of tracked NFL bets on the point spread.
The Patriots opened up as 10-point favorites for this game but have been bet down to -9.5 at about 33% of the sportsbooks I’ve tracked odds at.
These teams have been great bets recently with the Dolphins covering the line in 7 of their last 8 and New England following suit in 4 of their previous 6.
The Patriots have gone over the total in 4 straight games while Miami has gone under in 8 of their last 10 but only 2 of 4 more recently.
These AFC East rivals meet up at least twice every season and it was the visiting Patriots that won 38-24 earlier this season as 7-point favorites.
The Dolphins put up 488 total yards in the defeat, but they were no match for a New England squad that amassed 622 yards.
Tom Brady and the Patriots passed for 516 in that game and the total went well over.
The last 3 head-to-head meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the Patriots have covered the spread in every single matchup.
Miami has won outright in only 2 of the last 9 games against New England, but one of those victories was a 38-13 upset on the road in 2008 as 12.5-point underdogs.
Tags: miami dolphins, money line, new england patriots betting, odds, over under, point spread
