Friday, May 18th, 2012
The only Thursday game on this week’s college football schedule pits the #20 West Virginia Mountaineers (8-3) against the South Florida Bulls (5-6).
The game will be shown live on ESPN, and kickoff is slated for 8:00 PM ET.
West Virginia will be on the road where they are 3-1 on the season, while South Florida is just 3-3 when playing at home.
The Mountaineers are garnering 75% of all bets made on the point spread according to wager-tracking websites, yet the odds haven’t shifted at all.
West Virginia is a 1-point road favorite and it’s a bit surprising to see the line open that low, much less stay that low with the betting public firmly attached to one side.
The total here started off at 50 but was quickly bet up to 55.5, marking one of the largest line moves of the upcoming week.
One of the trends supporting South Florida here is that the home team in this head-to-head series has won outright in 4 straight.
Although the Bulls lost 6-20 in West Virginia as 10-point underdogs last season they have still covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 against the Mountaineers.
South Florida won 30-19 at home as 2.5-point underdogs in 2009, and against 21-13 as 7-point underdogs in 2007.
The under has hit in 5 of the 6 games played between these teams since 2005.
West Virginia has only covered the point spread in 2 of their last 5 overall, and they lost outright as double digit favorites in 2 of those games.
The Mountaineers have gone under the total in 2 straight after going over in 8 straight previously.
South Florida has covered the point spread in just 1 of their last 7 overall heading into this clash.
Tags: betting, college football, december 1st 2011, espn tv, las vegas, line, money line, odds, offshore, over under, pick, point spread, preview, south florida bulls, sportsbook, thursday, total, west virginia mountaineers
