Just having the best record doesn’t necessarily mean you’ll be favored, as we have learned in Sunday’s 1:00 PM ET game between the Buffalo Bills (5-3) and the Dallas Cowboys (4-4).
The Cowboys are at home and originally opened up as 3-point favorites before being bet up to -5.5 where they currently are at.
What is weird about this point spread is that the Bills are garnering nearly 65% of all tracked NFL bets despite the line moving the other way.
The total of 48 hasn’t moved at all and seems like it will stay put up until kickoff.
The Bills started their year off with 3 straight wins over the Kansas City Chiefs, Oakland Raiders, and New England patriots, but have followed it up with only 2 wins over their last 5 games.
The victories have been over the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins, while the losses have come against the Cincinnati Bengals, New York Giants, and New York Jets.
The last two Buffalo games have gone under the total, but the first 6 of the year all went over.
It has been a weird season for the Cowboys as they have not won or lost more than 2 games in a row.
Consistency has been an issue, but the under has been a winning wager in 4 straight Dallas games.
The Cowboys have beat the San Francisco 49ers, Washington Redskins, St. Louis Rams, and Seattle Seahawks this year while losing against the Philadelphia Eagles, New England Patriots, Detroit Lions, and New York Jets.
The Bills and Cowboys last met up in 2007 when Dallas was a 25-24 road winner as a 10.5-point favorite.
The Cowboys have won both games against Buffalo since 2003, but they’ve won them by an average of only 2.5 points.
4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these teams have gone under the total.
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